China’s “willingness” to engage in a diplomatic and peaceful solution to the “Taiwan issue” can’t be taken as face value, while they continue to reiterate and underscore that reunification be unconditional and absolute. They are unwilling to deviate from the 1992 consensus either. This does not leave much room for deliberation, or alternate pathways forward. While it is true, Taiwan has never been independent from China, it’s also true that the PRC has never legitimately governed the Island, only claiming it as its own. Arguably, only the KMT has ever been the only legitimate authority to govern both the Mainland and Taiwan. Will a war come to pass? It is doubtful, for the economic and political reasons outlined in the article; however, for another reason I put forward: The term “war”, civil or otherwise, would mean the PRC tacitly accepts the governing institutions in Taiwan as a legitimate authority, as a independent entity it is fighting.
But when we look at the Ukraine situation, it is not difficult to fathom that one day, China may initiate its own “special operation” to achieve its policy goals.