The premise of this analysis is a bit far fetched, and is based on the premise that the CCP cares about an arbitrary timeframe set by an American military general that wanted $20B in additional defense spending approved. The CCP has multiple fronts that they need international cooperation for, at least for the medium to long term (~10-20 years), including energy independence, semiconductor independence, a successful "one belt one road" execution, and agricultural independence.
More importantly Xi would risk significant blowback from the general population in China. To think the CCP would jeopardize all of this to control a relatively insignificant island is frankly, ludicrous.
The premise of this analysis is a bit far fetched, and is based on the premise that the CCP cares about an arbitrary timeframe set by an American military general that wanted $20B in additional defense spending approved. The CCP has multiple fronts that they need international cooperation for, at least for the medium to long term (~10-20 years), including energy independence, semiconductor independence, a successful "one belt one road" execution, and agricultural independence.
More importantly Xi would risk significant blowback from the general population in China. To think the CCP would jeopardize all of this to control a relatively insignificant island is frankly, ludicrous.